Chris,
The GOM is aptly named. Like all range calculators, it uses the last bit of driving to estimate remaining range on the assumption that the remainder will be exactly the same. Never really true if you think about how you drive as you approach your home after a day of driving.
Particularly if you are a newish owner, there is also the phenomenon of newbie lead foot. What fun it is to step on it initially to feel the kick of the torque. This degrades range. Last, depending on where you live climate wise, the car's battery needs to warm up before it hits its optimal range. So early on, it is worse. Worsened if you are heating or air conditioning the car to reach your preferred temperature. Then after all that, the car settles in and performs better range wise. The other factors are highway vs stop and go. There was one owner who had a sharp elevation change from home to work. Going one way, he coasted a lot and got great range. Going the other way, it ate range more rapidly.
There are other more explicit posts on this topic if you want to delve into the more technical explanation.
In any case, welcome to the club. Enjoy the ride!